Did you know there is a simple sports betting strategy step you can take to add from anywhere between 2-4% to your overall winning percentage?  As I’ve mentioned before, you need to hit 52.7% of your straight bets to make even the smallest profit when betting so adding this type of value could make the difference between just getting by, or having enough to buy yourself a well-deserved gift.

Maybe a flat screen TV?  Or how about an addition on the house?  Whatever you spend it on that’s up to you, but the point is if you get these extra percentage points you will be able to make some serious money.

If you’re not familiar with the concept of buying a ½ point, let me explain.  Let’s say New England is a 6 point underdog at Indianapolis.  Now you buy a ½ point to make New England +6.5.  In doing this, what you’ve also done is raise your winning percentage from 52.9% all the way up to 56.5%.  These numbers are based on research I have done over the past 15 years of NFL and NBA games.

As part of  a sports betting strategy,  there is a simple step you can take to add from anywhere between 2-4% to your overall winning percentage?  As I’ve mentioned before, you need to hit 52.7% of your straight bets to make even the smallest profit when betting so adding this type of value could make the difference between just getting by, or having enough to buy yourself a well-deserved gift.

Maybe a flat screen TV?  Or how about an addition on the house?  Whatever you spend it on that’s up to you, but the point is if you get these extra percentage points you will be able to make some serious money.

If you’re not familiar with the concept of buying a ½ point, let me explain.  Let’s say New England is a 6 point underdog at Indianapolis.  Now you buy a ½ point to make New England +6.5.  In doing this, what you’ve also done is raise your winning percentage from 52.9% all the way up to 56.5%.  These numbers are based on research I have done over the past 15 years of NFL and NBA games.

In the above example, you’ve added more than 3.5 percentage points to your winning percentage.  Over the course of a season, this could increase your win amount by more than 3 times.   Although most of the time you will have to pay some extra juice to buy a ½ point, there are instances where it’s absolutely worth it.

In the above example, you’ve added more than 3.5 percentage points to your winning percentage.  Over the course of a season, this could increase your win amount by more than 3 times.   Although most of the time you will have to pay some extra juice to buy a ½ point, there are instances where it’s absolutely worth it to include this as part of your sports betting strategy.

 
I’ve had countless people come up to me and ask, “Rich, with your vast experience in the sports betting world and your time spent working for a sportsbook, do you have any other tips or insider information that would help out a sports bettor like me?”

You see the thing is, I’ve come up with the best statistical system for picking winners in the NFL, NBA, and MLB, as well as NCAA Football so that’s a formula that I’m going to stick to.  But there are some other strategies, and there is more key information that can help the everyday player. 

One of the most popular strategies, and one that has risen in popularity in the last 10 years is called ‘Betting Agains the Public.’  This is a theory that becomes fairly self-evident to anyone who’s ever taken action.  You see the calls or clicks coming in on one side of a game and you almost start to think that people must have a copy of tomorrow’s newspaper.  And your first reaction is … holy s**t, I’m going to get crushed!

But you have patience and you keep your cool and whaddaya know – more often than not you WIN those kinds of games.  The reason?  Well it’s the same reason casinos or bookies don’t get busted by their players: the vast majority of people who bet don’t have the first clue about sports betting.  So they’ll bet on their favorite team, or the most popular team regardless of the spread.

That’s why casinos have taken to dealing a ‘double line,’ one for their sharp players and one for the so-called ’squares.’  That’s something I’ll get into later but for right now let’s talk about how you can profit from this sports betting strategy of betting against the public.  One of the most legendary (and outlandish) sports handicappers of all-time, Stu Feiner, recently said in an interview, “My strategy is based all on going against public opinion.  Anybody who says they have a proven handicapping strategy is bulls**tting. The only thing that works is going against the public.”

Now obviously I disagree with Stu’s overall assessment because he doesn’t address the usefulness of statistics and historical data that really matter.  But if you’re talking about the vast majority of sports handicappers that make it up as they go along, Stu is dead on.

The problem then becomes how do you know where the money is going?  Well, maybe you know someone who works at one of the premier offshore books?  But chances are that’s not likely.  But there is a website that provides exactly this type of information and in the coming days Sports Betting Professor will be announcing a partnership with THE leading sports betting information sight on the Internet.

Today I’d like to talk to you about some common held myths concerning NFL betting.  You know as well as I do that it’s not easy to make a living in this game.  Teams can look so different from week to week, you wonder if you’re watching the same squad on the field.  That’s why ever since betting on sports was invented, gamblers have been looking for an edge.

The desired edge usually takes the form of a standard or trend.  Someone will do a little research, or maybe they won’t.  Maybe it’s just an idea that sounds good and if the trend is successful for even the smallest sample size then it takes on a life of its own.  The casual bettor is looking for any edge he can get so if they get one piece of advice that seems to work then they jump all over it.

Probably the most popular, and one we’ve talked about a little bit already, is betting on the Home Underdog.  While this trend might stand up in the short-term we’ve done the research for the last 15 years and it’s a losing proposition.  Even more recently, the 2007 season, home underdogs finished with a 56-50-2 record ATS (Against the Spread).  That returned a 0.1% profit which is kind of like banging your head against the wall.  You have better things to do with your time and money than to earn 10 cents for every $100 you wager.

But the Home ‘Dog trend isn’t the only one that’s gained popularity over the years.  Other people put stock in the ‘Sandwich Game.’  The theory behind this one is a team has a series of 3 games coming up.  The first and third ones are against tougher competition and the middle one is against a team of supposed lesser quality.  There are number of problems with this one, not least of which is that until the season gets underway you don’t really have any idea who the ‘weak’ teams will be.

In this era of free agency and salary caps a team can change its’ fortunes dramatically from one season to the next.  So maybe it’s valid at the end of the season?  Research shows the theory doesn’t pan out then either.

Another trend people like to follow is betting on teams after they have a bye week, figuring the extra rest will make a difference.  Once again the numbers tell a different story, although teams that get their bye week later in the season seem to do a bit better.  This makes it worthy of more study but by no means can we classify it as a winning strategy.

And that’s the problem with these strategies as a whole, they’re usually ideas that come up to re-enforce theories that gamblers have already come up with.  What we did with Sports Betting Professor is we went in with no pre-conceived notions.  We didn’t have a theory and then try to find numbers that supported that theory.  Instead we did our research and let the numbers tell the story.  And that’s why the system is a winner.  I left my ego at the door and didn’t let personal feelings come into play.  That’s why I came up with the best system I could for myself and for you.

I want to discuss the occurrence of key numbers in the NBA.  When we first started our research we were skeptical that we might find key numbers in the NBA the same as we did in football.  With football, there are two predominant ways in which teams will score, by field goals or touchdowns.  And barring missed extra points which happen very rarely, this means points increase by margins of 3 or 7 in most cases.  This provides a great opportunity to find statistical advantages to use in your sports betting system.

But what about in the NBA?  There’s no big jump like 3 points to 7 points or 7 points to 7 more points like in the NFL.   You can have free throws (1 point), regular baskets (2points), or three-pointers (3 points). Even more disconcerting is the difference in the amount of scoring chances that occur in the two sports.  In football games, each team usually scores between 3 and 6 times, with a combination of field goals and touchdowns.  Opportunities abound for us to find discernible patterns.

In the NBA teams usually average between 75-85 field goal attempts and the free throw attempts usually fall in the 20-30 range for each team.  That’s well over 200 opportunities between the two teams combined to put points on the board.  It’s enough to make your head spin!

However, we surprised even ourselves when we found out that in fact there are key numbers in basketball.   The first, and probably the most obvious, is the number 2.  This is the number by which point increases happen most often in basketball, and in that respect 2 is to basketball as 3 and 7 are to football.  (That’s just in case you ever have to take the S.A.T. exams again!)

But it may surprise you to find out that the most common ‘fall-on’ number in the NBA, and most sports betting systems won’t mention this, (the number of the final margin of victory) is in fact … 7!  When you think about it, there is some sense in this.  Seven constitutes a three possession game, which can put the actual won/loss outcome out of reach and teams will usually stop fouling in the closing seconds if they can’t tie it up with two possessions or less.

Not coincidentally, 7 is also one of the key numbers in the SB Professor’s system.  There are other numbers that occur with high frequency and there are also numbers that oddsmakers install that make it either easier or more difficult for favorites to cover.  You don’t need to do all the research yourself.  Instead you can take advantage of the many sports betting systems on the market.

Today I want to talk to you about something you probably never gave much thought to when wagering on football: Pyschology.  That’s right, sports gambling psychology.  What I mean when I say this is you have to take into account the psychology of certain point spreads and why bookmakers will set a game at a certain number.  AND you have to think about the hesitation sportsbooks have when thinking about moving off a particular number.

When you watch all the experts on television they like to talk about so many different numbers:  the temperature in the air, quarterback ratings, total points allowed, previous winning or losing streaks, etc.  But they almost never talk about the most important number there is … THE SPREAD ITSELF!

It seems so obvious and yet it gets lost in all the noise and bluster you see and hear on TV: first and foremost the sports gambling psychology of the point spread is THE number to think about before you bet.  That’s because of the scoring system in the NFL and how often games will land on certain key numbers.   Another term for this is ‘fall-on’ numbers, so called because they’re numbers that final scores frequently ‘fall-on.’

In our research we discovered that 3 is the most common ‘fall-on’ number in the NFL.  Over the last 15 years, almost 8% of all games have landed on this number.  The number 7 is the second most common final margin of victory.  This is no surprise, since most scoring happens in instances of 3 and 7.

But what you may not know, and one of the reasons my sports betting  system is especially crucial to have at your disposal, is there are other key numbers in the NFL.  You need to look especially hard at games that are listed with spreads at the individual line values of 3 and 7.  But you also have to look at spreads posted at the sum total of one of each (10), the sum total of two of the same (6 and 14), and the numerical differences between the two (4).  These six pointspreads are ALL key numbers.  In fact, they account for roughly 45% of margins of all games.

Tying these numbers back to sports gambling psychology and what the bookmaker is thinking  is an important part of the wagering process.  Our research shows that installing a home team as a 3 point favorite will result in dramatically different results than when the home team is listed as a 4 point favorite.  So again, it might only be one point, but knowing what to do in the instances of that one point difference will determine whether you are a winner or a loser this football season.

You read the title of my post right: betting on sports is a sound investment. I actually prefer to use the term ‘investing’ as opposed to gambling. When I hear the word gambling I have an image of somebody filling out a parlay card and donating $20 or $50 to their local bookie because they haven’t got a clue what they’re doing.

If you invest in something, you do so after you’ve done research and due diligence. The best stock picker in the world, Warren Buffett, won’t invest in a company unless he knows exactly what they do and how they make their money. You should never invest in something that you don’t understand.

Another key to sound investment strategy is to stay diversified. Sound sports betting money management means you shouldn’t have all your money piled into one asset class. Be it real estate, the stock market, your piggy bank, etc. it doesn’t matter: all your money should never be in one place.

And I feel that ‘investing’ in football and basketball games can be a legitimate way to diversify the money you have to invest. Let’s face it, most of us can’t analyze the financial statement of a business and make a lot of sense out of it. BUT, most of us can look at a pointspread and understand its meaning.

Smart sports betting money management means investing your money into something only if you have a plan to succeed. That’s why I can recommend the Sports Betting Professor systems: They’re simple to follow, easy to understand, AND perhaps most important of all – they come with a 100% money back guarantee.

Try calling up the CEO of one of those big Wall Street companies and see if you can get the money back that you lost by buying their stock. Not going to happen. However, you can try out my system of investing on sports and if it doesn’t work out to your satisfaction, just let me know and you can have your money back.

Whether the stock market or the economy is doing well or doing poorly, an investor with good sports betting money management skills should always consider having some of your portfolio invested in a sports betting system.

People tend to ask me all the time, what do you consider the ‘real’ number on a particular game? Is it the opening line? The closing line? Well my answer to them is … neither.

I worked at an offshore sportsbook for 8 years and sometimes that opener can be a ‘false’ opener. What I mean by that is, the sportsbook releases a number, the sharp players bang it up and when the dust settles that’s your REAL number. If you’re talking about football, this is the number the game stays on most of the week (barring an injury or suspension etc.).

In the case of basketball it’s the number the game is on during the middle part of the day/early night after the dust has settled.

I also tend to disregard the last hour flurry that happens as well. This is more driven by the public at large, and believe me, it doesn’t make sense to put much stock in what they think. We used to love having a game the general public loaded up on because more often than not, they were dead wrong.

My sports betting strategy is entirely based on these spreads so I have to pay very close attention.

That’s why it’s so vital to have this knowledge in your back pocket for a good sports betting strategy. Remember you don’t want to bet a game when it first comes out. The wiseguys and sharp bettors are just licking their chops waiting for that line to open, and when they bet they bet big and this will move the spread by as much as a couple of points. What if you bet a game at -3 when the real spread should’ve been -1.5?

The same goes for the last minute activity, or as we used to call it, Amateur Hour. Everybody and their brother is trying to get down now and if you waited this long you might as well just forget it. The line is like a pogo stick at this point.

You want to make sure you get your bets down at the ‘true’ number if you want to be successful with your sports betting strategy.

Moving along, there is one more issue about the spreads in relation to sports betting systems and why don’t we discuss juice payments and purchasing points. This really is merely American terminology for a change in odds.

Purchasing Points

In a few situations my betting system suggests which you ought to purchase, a half point on the game. Exactly what does this mean? Well let’s keep everything simple and stick with our example that we’ve been utilizing:

Spread Money Line

Baltimore Ravens +3.5 (-110) +170

Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-110) -200

Let’s say you got my pick and I said to bet on Green Bay -3. You go to your sportsbook and the game is listed -3.5. Then you would need to buy a half point moving the line in your favor. At most casinos this will cost you an extra 10% in juice payment.

Ok, rather than wagering on Green Bay minus three.5 and risking $110 to win $100 you now could be betting on Green Bay minus three risking $120 to win $100. You will find numerous sportsbooks that provide lower juice odds, there truly isn’t a purpose to possess an account that you need to usually lay $110 to win $100

To explain, in the above example, Rich has given his pick (selection) as Green Bay -3. Remember a minus quotation means that the team is the favorite and that we are going to take 3 points off their final score.

It’s really essential to keep in mind that we will win more than 90% of all our bets here and this just may be the situation simply because Rich has spent numerous years studying the numbers and sports betting systems behind his picks and his record throughout the seasons is first rate. As a result we need to make certain that we make our bets precisely in line with his picks.

Ok, this means we need to place our bet on Green Bay to win at -3.

In case your sportsbook does not have Green Bay -3, but instead it is listed as Green Bay -3.5, you’ll have to purchase a half point. What it really means whenever we purchase points is merely that there is really a change within the odds.

Consequently now you have at hand all which you really need to make some extreme cash using the Sports Betting Professor.

Baseball

For our Baseball picks, we do not need to concern ourselves with the spread; we simply make our bets on the money line or team to win.

Last but not least is:

Money Management

As with investing in any sports betting, money management is absolutely essential.

Sports Betting Using the Sports Betting Professor we have been utilizing a staking system recognized as bets A, B and C. This is utilized simply because I’ve performed substantial studies and statistical evaluation and it really has proven over numerous years to be the most effective strategy to increase your earnings.

The strategy is simplified and demands little explanation which could be uncovered using the links you’ll have obtained whenever you joined the Sports Betting Professor. The important thing to keep in mind would be to set your target to risk between 2 and 5% of the betting bank. By doing this you’ll very easily cover any losing runs.

I really hope that goes a considerable ways toward getting rid of some of the puzzles about the American sports called football and basketball and baseball and how to figure out different sports betting systems. If you are not learning more about and betting on these games you are truly missing out some simple earnings.

I’ve had lots of questions from my European clients and their confusion when it comes to U.S. sports and how you can read chances with various sports betting systems, etc. So I’ve gone into excellent detail which I really feel is useful to any beginner. So welcome to your Sports Betting Professor manual, created to assist you take advantage out of this wonderful service.

First of all, listed here are the sports that we are going to be utilizing to produce some extreme cash.

Sport Season:

American Football (NFL) September-end of January
American College Football (NCAAF) September-early January
Basketball (NBA) November-June
Baseball (MLB) April-October

In the USA, all betting is carried out by using a Sportsbook, something like a Bookmaker inside UK/Europe.

The way in which wagering is executed on American sports is slightly diverse. Within the UK/Europe, they’re much more familiar with merely placing a bet on the team to win the match or game.

For instance Manchester United v Chelsea and we are going to be presented with the chances for every team to win so that we will make our selection. With American Football and Basketball, we are able to also make the exact same win bet, nevertheless the lingo utilized is really a little different and a handicapping method is also used.

The terminology you will see in various sports betting systems will be what’s called the Spread and the Money Line. The money line is simply a straight forward win bet on a team and this is what we will use for Baseball which we will come to later in the manual. The spread is the handicap system and this is what we will use to place our bets with the Sports Betting Professor on American Football and Basketball.

Ok for the present time we will focus on the Spread. This is comparable to horse racing in the UK; the handicapper tries to regulate a horse race so that in a perfect world all of the horses would cross the fishing line at the same time. Why don’t we take American Football as one example? One team could be the favorite and the other team could be the underdog in the same way they would in a UK/European football match. Therefore the handicap system used in America aims to treat both teams the same by recommending the score that a team should win or lose by.

Below I give an example of this. In doing so I explain the spread and money lines, but it is the spread that we need to concentrate on for now.

The most important thing to cover is the meaning of the point spreads and the money associated with betting on each team. For American football and basketball this works in the same manner so let’s give an example.
Why not say the Baltimore Ravens are playing the Green Bay Packers and the game is listed the following way:

Spread Money Line

Baltimore Ravens +3.5 (-110) +170

Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-110) -200

To start with let’s kick this off by explaining the distinction between Spread and Cash Line betting. Cash Line betting will be what you are most likely a lot more acquainted with. In this instance you’re just betting on 1 team or the other one to win the match.

In the example above the odds makers feel the Packers are the stronger team so you have to risk $200 to win $100 for Green Bay to win the game. For Baltimore you risk $100 to win $170.

However, in U.S. sports most of the action is done on spread betting. So look at the game above again. The way you read that is: “Green Bay – 3.5” or “Baltimore +3.5.”

Whenever you bet on a team with the minus sign in front, they are the favored team (the Favorite) and for betting purposes you have to subtract (or minus) the points listed from your team’s final score. The team with the plus sign is called the Underdog. That might be confusing so let me slow down here.

Why don’t we say you bet for the Packers to protect the spread? The last score for the game results in Green Bay 20 and Baltimore 17. Therefore Green Bay wins the match. But… keep in mind for betting purposes we need to subtract three to five factors from Green Bay’s last score. That makes the brand new last score Baltimore 17 and Green Bay 16.five. And so although Green Bay won the game in reality life, within the betting community they lose simply because they didn’t win by the needed quantity of numbers.

Exact same rule applies should you bet on Baltimore but because they have the plus sign you get to add that number of points. Ok so, the exact same last score of Green Bay twenty and Baltimore seventeen means Baltimore loses the match. But… bear in mind to add 3 to 5 point scores Baltimore’s last ranking. That means it is Green Bay 20 and Baltimore 20.5 therefore for wagering reasons your bet on Baltimore is really a winner although they lost the actual competition.

Because of this you should know one tried and true rule:

Should you be bet on the team which has the + sign before it as suggested in sports betting systems, you would like to achieve the biggest quantity feasible. Whenever you are betting in regards to the team with the – sign in front of them you would like the littlest quantity possible.

Does this make sense?

It is this time of the year when College Basketball truly starts warming up. Conference games are into full swing mode and at this stage is when the top tier teams begin to show they’re superior to the rest of the field. Enough of using the games versus lower competitors that do not even deserve to be on the same court with the stars of the game, it is time to discover if you are prepared for the deep run throughout March Madness. Plus, although it is exciting to observe these monsters tear into one another, exactly what does it mean from the wagering perspective?

What i mean is, how can the ‘best’ teams in College Basketball stand up to the pointspread, the only real number which matters to a hardcore bettor’s sports betting system? Having a glimpse at a few of the top placed teams this season, we uncover a few intriguing details.

Kansas is the unanimous #1 team this year. Last season the Jayhawks had a 27-8 record Straight Up (SU) and were a terrific 20-8-1 Against The Spread (ATS). That’s an unbelievable 71%. This year’s #2 team is the Michigan St. Spartans. Last year they were 31-7 SU and 21-13 ATS, that’s still 62%. Keep in mind the magic number to make a profit using sports betting systems is 52.7%. So these numbers are amazing.

Trying to keep this going, the #3 team, Villanova, this past year they were 19-15 ATS, which is 56%. Although this might not really seem like a lot, keep in mind that: If everybody hit this, 55% the sportsbooks would certainly quickly end up being out of business. Should you wager $1,000 a game, throughout 1,000 games with 10 cent juice and you just hit 55% you would make $55,000. Should you hit 58% you’d earn $118,000!

This trend continues right though the Top 6 teams. However, that’s where it goes down hill. After that it drops down to around 50% and then once you get past the Top 15 there’s no discernible pattern.

Although it by no means ensures long term results with any sports betting systems, it’s an important thing to think about as this season moves along. The greatest teams, and I am talking about the really best teams, begin focusing if they look after their ATS affairs simply because it could make you a considerable amount of cash once everything starts gearing up.