I want to discuss the occurrence of key numbers in the NBA. When we first started our research we were skeptical that we might find key numbers in the NBA the same as we did in football. With football, there are two predominant ways in which teams will score, by field goals or touchdowns. And barring missed extra points which happen very rarely, this means points increase by margins of 3 or 7 in most cases. This provides a great opportunity to find statistical advantages to use in your sports betting system.
But what about in the NBA? There’s no big jump like 3 points to 7 points or 7 points to 7 more points like in the NFL. You can have free throws (1 point), regular baskets (2points), or three-pointers (3 points). Even more disconcerting is the difference in the amount of scoring chances that occur in the two sports. In football games, each team usually scores between 3 and 6 times, with a combination of field goals and touchdowns. Opportunities abound for us to find discernible patterns.
In the NBA teams usually average between 75-85 field goal attempts and the free throw attempts usually fall in the 20-30 range for each team. That’s well over 200 opportunities between the two teams combined to put points on the board. It’s enough to make your head spin!
However, we surprised even ourselves when we found out that in fact there are key numbers in basketball. The first, and probably the most obvious, is the number 2. This is the number by which point increases happen most often in basketball, and in that respect 2 is to basketball as 3 and 7 are to football. (That’s just in case you ever have to take the S.A.T. exams again!)
But it may surprise you to find out that the most common ‘fall-on’ number in the NBA, and most sports betting systems won’t mention this, (the number of the final margin of victory) is in fact … 7! When you think about it, there is some sense in this. Seven constitutes a three possession game, which can put the actual won/loss outcome out of reach and teams will usually stop fouling in the closing seconds if they can’t tie it up with two possessions or less.
Not coincidentally, 7 is also one of the key numbers in the SB Professor’s system. There are other numbers that occur with high frequency and there are also numbers that oddsmakers install that make it either easier or more difficult for favorites to cover. You don’t need to do all the research yourself. Instead you can take advantage of the many sports betting systems on the market.
